US Treasury projects $618 billion borrowing in Q4, $800 billion in Q1 2027

The US Treasury is estimating federal borrowing will hit $618 billion in the last quarter of 2026, which is $10 billion less than previously thought. Despite anticipating lower cash flows, the Treasury projects borrowing of $800 billion in early 2027 as well. Market watchers are eager for upcoming announcements regarding Treasury auctions, as these might indicate changes in their bond issuance tactics.