RBI MPC puts Q3 rate hike in play if inflation risks show up big

Indian monetary policy makers may tighten rates in the third quarter if inflation risks materialize. Higher food and fuel prices could lead to broad-based inflation, prompting action. Inflation is projected to peak at 5.9% in Q3 2026-27, signaling potential policy shifts. The central bank remains watchful of global economic turbulence and its domestic impact. Monetary response is warranted if inflation expectations become de-anchored or persistent.