Spain vs Cape Verde World Cup prediction: Why the over on Spain's team total looks like the play

We've had some World Cup luck so far, so we have to keep pushing our luck, right? Right. We have gone 2-1 with a win in the USA, a loss on the over in the Brazil game, and a really good win in the Netherlands and Japan tying, getting us a +240 win. Let's try to grab one here with Spain and Cape Verde. 

Even a casual observer would expect Spain to be the better team in this game. You could probably even assume that Spain should make a deep run in the World Cup overall. What is a little unique...