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Kalshi and Polymarket correctly predicted 19 out of 24 Oscar winners. Here are the ones they missed.

In five categories, the film favored by traders on Kalshi and Polymarket ultimately did not win the Oscar.

Richard Harbaugh/Bill Barnes/The Academy/Getty Images

  • Prediction markets correctly predicted the winner in 19 out of 24 Oscar categories.
  • In one category, there was a rare tie, and Kalshi and Polymarket settled it in different ways.
  • Here are the five categories where prediction markets missed.

If you made Oscar winner predictions based on who was leading on Kalshi and Polymarket...

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