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The AI Future: Between Certain Doom and Endless Prosperity

Kevin T. Frazier

The generative AI tools that dominate headlines today were introduced more than three years ago. Technologists would tell you that the models have advanced significantly over that period. In fact, they’d likely say that AI has progressed beyond their wildest expectations. Experts at the leading AI labs may discuss how their models can do hours-long tasks on behalf of users. Startups’ founders may brag about AI tools that make doctors drastically more...

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