Soothsaying And The Sampling Referendum: The Heralded Rise Of One Nation – OpEd

Nominal realities bedevil politics.  They usually find form in polling statistics, airings in the land of pundits and those self-appointed wise people who think they have a measure of the electorate and its various wishes.  Folly often follows, garlanded with errors of judgment and failed predictions: Brexit and Donald Trump’s election in 2016; Trump’s re-election in 2024.  The list is wearisomely long, the electorate often inscrutable.  Yet the pollsters always live another day, at large and unpunished.