IRS tax refund 2026: Americans could see up to $1,000 more — why refunds are rising and what taxpayers should do before filing

IRS tax refund 2026: Americans could see up to $1,000 more. IRS data and policy analysis show average tax refunds in 2026 may rise by $300 to $1,000, with some households nearing $3,800. The increase reflects 2025 tax cuts, higher standard deductions, and unchanged paycheck withholding. Millions likely overpaid during the year. Filing status, tips, overtime, and SALT deductions matter. Experts urge taxpayers to review withholding early to avoid surprises.