IMF upgrades global growth outlook but warns of AI and trade risks

The International Monetary Fund has raised its global economic growth forecast for 2026 to 3.3%, citing stronger-than-expected resilience in the face of recent trade disruptions and surging investment in artificial intelligence.

The revised estimate, up 0.2 percentage points from October 2025, reflects solid performance in the United States, China, and key parts of the euro area. The IMF now expects growth to slow slightly to 3.2% in 2027.