Economy in 2026: the world finds itself in a delicate balance

After a year of intense volatility, the world economy enters 2026 with a complex mix of challenges and opportunities.

Most economists expect that growth will remain moderate by historical standards, around 2.4 per cent, as markets adjust to an environment of geopolitical uncertainty, high trade tariffs, limited monetary and fiscal room for stimulus in many countries and, at the same time, rapid technological transformations that are reshaping entire sectors and affecting traditional balances.