Crises, competition and conflict: What’s in store for the Middle East in 2026?

With an assertive Israel and numerous local rivalries, the region is entering a year in which the cost of error is rising

Forecasting is a thankless business and often one that appears, at first glance, only partly rational. Yet it remains indispensable. Without an effort to look ahead, it is impossible to craft strategy or design public policy in a way that reduces information asymmetry and uncertainty.

In politics and economics...