Senate Republican hit with stunningly low odds to survive bitter primary

A sitting Senate Republican in a red state has staggeringly low odds of even making it out of a primary next year, according to online traders.

Polymarket traders believe MAGA Texas Attorney General Paxton is most likely to win the Republican primary over Sen. John Cornyn, with the most recent estimates putting Paxton at a 63% probability. Cornyn lags Paxton with just a 28% probability, meaning fewer than one in three traders think he'll survive what's already become a bitter showdown.

Cornyn's...