Why Jon Ossoff’s 2026 Senate Race Is Key for Democrats

Photo: Maansi Srivastava/The Washington Post/Getty Images

For nearly two decades, Georgia was considered a solidly red state. From 2002 until 2020, it was carried by Republicans from the top to the bottom of the ballot. Then in 2020, Georgia morphed into highly competitive purple state: It narrowly went for Joe Biden in 2020 and Donald Trump in 2024.

Now Nate Silver makes a very good case that the Peach State could be the next “tipping-point state” (the state that puts the winner past 270 electoral votes) in 2028.