Lebanon’s Precarious Future

In late November 2024, an eerie silence fell over Lebanon’s southern border. Amid some of the heaviest fighting between Israel and Hezbollah in months, with Israeli airstrikes hitting Beirut and Israeli troops pushing deeper into southern Lebanon, a ceasefire was reached. Hezbollah—once hailed across the Shia world as the vanguard of “resistance”—lay in ruins. Its leader, Hassan Nasrallah, dead; its heavy military infrastructure obliterated; its political grip shattered. The force that had defined...