Trump is favored to win, despite his campaign

Donald Trump seems to be playing a diabolical four-dimensional chess strategy this year. He must figure he is a lock to win — and wants the result to be so close, while offending every conventional sensibility, that the D..C political and media establishment will never get over the 2024 election result. 

After all, no presidential campaign can really be this terrible. 

He has focused on the wrong issues, left powerful attack points off the table, sent bad direct mail, and shown no message discipline.