The Potent Political Effect of Border Chaos and Immigrant Crime: Separating Rhetoric from Reality

Alex Nowrasteh

Donald Trump is likely to be elected president again in the 2024 election. His chances have risen precipitously over the last year for several reasons that economist and columnist Tyler Cowen outlines here. Cowen’s points are solid as a matter of purely positive analysis and he’s correct or at least partly correct about all of them, but crime and disorder should be included.

You can group Cowen’s reasons and my additions into four broad buckets. To be clear, these...