Why a Late RFK Jr. Polling Boom Is Unlikely

Whatever you think of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and his independent candidacy for president this year, he’s already accomplished something that’s fairly rare in recent American politics: registering support from over 10 percent of the electorate in national (and many battleground state) polls. He’s currently at 10.8 percent in the RealClearPolitics polling averages and 10.2 percent at FiveThirtyEight in surveys of the presidential race that include non-major-party candidates.