The actual “Great Replacement”

Some people on the right worry that immigration will cause America’s white population to be largely replaced by non-whites.  This hypothesis is sometimes referred to as “The Great Replacement”.  There is a great replacement occurring, but these worriers have things exactly backwards.  (As an aside, this post will not examine the pros and cons of a changing ethnic mix.  Rather, I’ll argue that the feared change is not occurring.)

To understand why the Great Replacement theory is wrong, it’s...