Trump-vs.-Biden Polls: Don’t Be Fooled by Outliers!
Photo-Illustration: Intelligencer; Photos: Getty Images
The latest Rassmussen national poll on the 2024 presidential contest shows Donald Trump leading Joe Biden by ten points in a two-way contest, and by 12 points in a five-way race. Polls are not predictions, to be sure, but to place this data into an appropriate context, the last time a presidential candidate won the national popular vote by ten points was 30 years ago, when Ronald Reagan won 49 states. Everything we know about contemporary...
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