Above-normal monsoon rainfall predicted in south Asia

The South Asian Climate Outlook Forum predicts above-normal rainfall in most parts of south Asia during the 2024 southwest monsoon season, with India expected to experience below-normal rainfall. The forecast is based on favorable La Nina conditions, which are expected to set in by August-September. Moderate El Nino conditions are currently prevailing, with neutral conditions expected in the first half of the season. La Nina conditions, the antithesis of El Nino, are the dominant factor in the likelihood of above-normal rainfall.