Win total projections are not perfect. You might remember the Seahawks’ line was set at 5.5 a season ago and they hit the over before their bye week. On the flip side, the total for the defending Super Bowl champion Rams was set at 10.5. They won five games.
So I’ll repeat, win totals are not perfect, but they are informative. They’re a huge help when it comes to grouping teams into tiers. There are the Super Bowl contenders — Chiefs, Eagles, Bills, Bengals, 49ers — each of whom is projected to win 10 or more games in 2023.